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RIETI ¡@©ó¡@2002/11/18 22:34 | |
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HitCat ¡@©ó¡@2002/11/21 04:33 | |
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HitCat ¡@©ó¡@2002/11/21 05:04 | |
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HitCat ¡@©ó¡@2002/11/22 06:14 | |
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HitCat ¡@©ó¡@2002/11/24 02:38 | |
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HitCat ¡@©ó¡@2002/11/24 02:48 | |
Re:¥xÆW¶i¤J³q³fºòÁY¶Ü¡H¦³½Ð¦U¦ì°ª¤â | |
To Riete¡A ÁÂÁ§Aªº¦^µª¡C©Ò¥H®Ú¾Ú§A¦bNO:1798_13ªº¦^¤å¡A§A¤£»{¬°ªF¨È¥Ø«e¦³³q³fºòÁYªº²{¶H¡C³Ì¦h¡A¥u¯à»¡¦³¼ç¦bªº¦MÀI¡A¦ý¨º¬O§A¹ï¥¼¨Óªº§PÂ_¡A¤£¬O¥Ø«e¹ê»Úµo¥Íªº±¡ªp¡C §Ú°O±o§A¦³¤@½g³o¤è±ªº¤å³¹¡A¥i§_¶K¥X¨ÓÅý¤j®a¤À¨É°Q½×¡C |
RIETI ¡@©ó¡@2002/11/25 12:41 | |
Re:¥xÆW¶i¤J³q³fºòÁY¶Ü¡H¦³½Ð¦U¦ì°ª¤â | |
HitCat ¤£¬O§Ú¤£»{¬°ªF¨È¥Ø«e¨S¦³³q³fºòÁY¦M¾÷¡AªF¨È¨Æ¹ê¤W¤w¸g¦³³q³fºòÁY²{¶H¡A¹³¬O»´ä¡B ¨S¿ù¡A¬O¹ï¥¼¨Óªº§PÂ_¡A«Ø¥ß¦bÅÞ¿è±À²z¥H¤Î³¡¤À°ê®a¨Æ¹ê¤§¤Wªº§PÂ_»P±À½×¡C §Úªº¤å³¹¦b³oÓºô¯¸³£¬Ýªº¨ì¡A¥Î§@ªÌÀ˯Á¥\¯à¥´¤J¦b¤Uµ§¦W¡A§Y¥i¦C¥X©Ò¦³¬ÛÃö°Q½×¡C |
NOBODY ¡@©ó¡@2002/11/25 17:10 | |
Re:¥xÆW¶i¤J³q³fºòÁY¶Ü¡H¦³½Ð¦U¦ì°ª¤â | |
TO Everybody: «D±`°ª¿³¦U¦ì¯à¦b¥»ª©²`¤J°Q½×³oÓ°ÝÃD¡A º¥ý¡A¥xÆW¬O§_¶i¤J¤F³q³fºòÁY®É´Á¡H ¨ä¦¸¡A¦bª«»ù¤U¶^¡A³q³fºòÁYªº±¡ªp¤U¡A ³Ì«á¡A¥xÆW¦]¬°ºò¾F¤¤°ê¡A |
HitCat ¡@©ó¡@2002/11/25 19:06 | |
Re:¥xÆW¶i¤J³q³fºòÁY¶Ü¡H¦³½Ð¦U¦ì°ª¤â | |
To Nobody, Welcome! |
HitCat ¡@©ó¡@2002/11/25 19:17 | |
Re:¥xÆW¶i¤J³q³fºòÁY¶Ü¡H¦³½Ð¦U¦ì°ª¤â | |
To Riete, I read what your wrote on this web-site, but most of them are research outlines, not concrete and organized arguments. Could you please give us a summary of your arguments in 2000 characters? That would be helpful to most of us. Thank you! |
RIETI ¡@©ó¡@2002/11/25 21:51 | |
Re:¥xÆW¶i¤J³q³fºòÁY¶Ü¡H¦³½Ð¦U¦ì°ª¤â | |
What 2000 characters? Well, it is my hornor to have a request from you. But dont you think some experts on this we-site know much more than me. I am only an amature expert! |
Äõ¶§¿ô·à¹Î ¡@©ó¡@2002/11/25 22:40 | |
Re:¥xÆW¶i¤J³q³fºòÁY¶Ü¡H¦³½Ð¦U¦ì°ª¤â | |
<<<<¥xÆW¦³¥i¯à¦b¨É¨ü§Cª«»ùªº¦P®É¡Aºû«ù°ê¥Á©Ò±oªº¦¨ªø¶Ü¡H ¥u¦³²£·~¤É¯Å¤@³~¡A³o¬OÓ¥@¬É¸gÀÙ§ø¡C ¨D·s¨DÅܨD°ª«~½è¡C |
RIETI ¡@©ó¡@2002/11/25 23:08 | |
Re:¥xÆW¶i¤J³q³fºòÁY¶Ü¡H¦³½Ð¦U¦ì°ª¤â | |
°ÝÃD¬O¡G ·s²£·~©Î¬O´À¥N©Ê²£·~¤Wy¹D©Ò»Ýnªá¶Oªº®É¶¡¡A¥i¯à°l»°¤£¤W²£·~¥~²¾©Ò»Ýªº®É¶¡¡C |
HitCat ¡@©ó¡@2002/11/26 01:23 | |
Re:¥xÆW¶i¤J³q³fºòÁY¶Ü¡H¦³½Ð¦U¦ì°ª¤â | |
To Riete, I mean 2000 words. By the way, who are those experts you refered to? |
Jana ¡@©ó¡@2002/11/26 01:28 | |
Re:¥xÆW¶i¤J³q³fºòÁY¶Ü¡H¦³½Ð¦U¦ì°ª¤â | |
¤j®a¦n¡A³o¤@Äæ¬Ý¤F¤@°}¤l¡A¦³¨Ç¦a¤è·Q½Ð°Ý¤@¤U¡C º¥ý½Ð°ÝRIETI: ¥H¤U³o¨â¬q¤å¦r¥X¦Û§Aªº«e«á¶K¤å¡A«Ü©úÅã¦a¡A§Aªº»¡ªk«e«á¥Ù¬Þ¡C¬O§_¥i¥H¸ÑÄÀ¤@¤U¡H ¡u§Ú¤j³¡¤Àªº¶K¤å¤¤¬O«üªF¨È¦³³q³fºòÁYªº¦M¾÷¡A¬O¤@Ó¥i¯à§Y±Nµo¥Íªº¸gÀÙ²{¶H¡C·íµM¡A¥»¨Ó¬OÀ³¸Ó®¨®¨ªº¨Ó¡A¦ý³Q´CÅé¹L«×ªº´è¬V¡A¦n¹³¯uªº¤w¸g¨Ó¤F¤@¼Ë¡C¡v ¡u¤£¬O§Ú¤£»{¬°ªF¨È¥Ø«e¨S¦³³q³fºòÁY¦M¾÷¡AªF¨È¨Æ¹ê¤W¤w¸g¦³³q³fºòÁY²{¶H¡A¹³¬O»´ä¡B¤é¥»¡B¤¤°ê¡B·s¥[©Y¡A¤µ«á¥xÆW¡B®õ°ê¡B°¨¨Ó¦è¨È¡B¦L¥§¥i¯à¦b¤@¬q®É¶¡¤§¤º§e²{©úÅ㪺¯gª¬¡A¬O³B¦bµo¥Íªº²Ä¤@¶¥¬q¡C¡v ¦pªG§â²Ä¤G¬q¤å¦r·í¦¨§Aªº¯u¥¿·N«ä¡A¨º»ò¡A½Ð°Ý§A¬O±qþ¨Ç¹êÃÒ¸ê®Æ¨Ã½×ÃÒ±o¥X¡uªF¨È¨Æ¹ê¤W¤w¸g¦³³q³fºòÁY²{¶H¡v©O¡H |
Jana ¡@©ó¡@2002/11/26 02:45 | |
Re:¥xÆW¶i¤J³q³fºòÁY¶Ü¡H¦³½Ð¦U¦ì°ª¤â | |
§Ú¥h¬d¤F¤@¤U¥Dp³Bªº²Îp¸ê®Æ¡A ºI¦Ü¤Q¤ë¡A ®ø¶OªÌª«»ù«ü¼Æªº¦~¼W²v¬O-1.65%(t¦¨ªø) ¦ÓWholesaleª«»ù«ü¼Æªº¦~¼W²v«h¬O2.14%(¥¿¦¨ªø) ¦A¸É¥R¤@ӼƾڡA |
RIETI ¡@©ó¡@2002/11/26 18:53 | |
Re:¥xÆW¶i¤J³q³fºòÁY¶Ü¡H¦³½Ð¦U¦ì°ª¤â | |
²{¦b¦³³qÁYªºªF¨È°ê®a¡G¤é¥»¡B¤¤°ê¡B»´ä ¥i¯à±N¥X²{³qÁYªº°ê®a¡G¥xÆW¡B·s¥[©Y ©|¥¼¥X²{¦ý»Ý«ùÄòÆ[¹î¹ï¶H¡G°¨¡B®õ¡B¦L¡Bµá... ¨Æ¹ê¤WªF¨È¦³³¡¤À°ê®a¥X²{³q³fºòÁY¡I |
Jana ¡@©ó¡@2002/11/27 07:52 | |
Re:¥xÆW¶i¤J³q³fºòÁY¶Ü¡H¦³½Ð¦U¦ì°ª¤â | |
To «n¹Å¥Í Ä~Äò¦^µª§Aªº°ÝÃD¡C °w¹ï²Ä¤TÓ°ÝÃD¡A§A´£¨ìªº·s³Í¦]´µ¾Ç¬£¡A¨ä¹ê¬OÃÙ¦P§ÚªºÆ[ÂIªº¡C¬°¤FÁ×§KÂû¦PÀnÁ¿¡A§Ú¥ý©w¸q©Ò¿×ªº·s³Í¦]´µ¾Ç¬£¡C§Ú«üºÙªº·s³Í¦]´µÆ[ÂI¤Uªº³f¹ô²z½×¡A¬O¦breal business cycleªº¼Ò«¬¤U¡A¥[¤Jµu´Áªºª«»ù»ø©T©Ê¡Cª«»ù»ø©T©Ê¥i¥H³z¹LCalvo price setting¨Ó¼Ò«¬¤Æ¡A©ÎªÌ¬O³z¹L§A©Ò´£¨ìªº¸ó´Á¤¬Å|ªº¤u¸ê½Õ¾ã¡C³oÃþ¼Ò«¬³q±`¥Ñ²[»\¤TÓ¤èµ{¦¡¡GIS¦±½u¡]¹ê½è§Q²v»Poutput gap§e¤Ï¦VÃö«Y¡^¡Aµá¤O´¶¦±½u¡]³q³f¿±µÈ²v»Poutput gap§e²{¥¿¬ÛÃö¡^¡A§Q²v¤èµ{¦¡¡]µu´Á§Q²v»P¹w´Á³q³f¿±µÈ¦¨¥¿¬ÛÃö¡^¡C»P¶Ç²ÎIS-LM¼Ò«¬¤£¦Pªº¬O¡A³q³f¿±µÈ²v»Poutput gap³£¨ü¨ì¨ä¥¼¨Ó¹w´ÁȪº¼vÅT¡C½Ðª`·N¡A·s³Í¦]´µ¼Ò«¬¤]¬O°²³]ª«»ù¦bªø´Á¥i¥H¦Û¥Ñ½Õ¾ã¡A©Ò¥H³f¹ô¦bªø´Á¬O¨ã¦³¤¤¥ß©Êªº¡C·s³Í¦]´µ¼Ò«¬¤§¤U©Ò±Àºtªº³Ì¾A³f¹ô¬Fµ¦¡An¨D¤¤¥¡»È¦æ°w¹ï¹w´Á³q³f¿±µÈ½Õ¾ãµu´Á¦W¥Ø§Q²v¡A¦Ó¥B½Õ¾ã«Y¼Æ¥²¶·¤j©ó¤@¡C´«¥y¸Ü»¡¡A·í±Á{¹w´Áª«»ù¤Wº¦®É¡A¥²¶·´£°ª¦W¥Ø§Q²v¡A¦Ó¥B¨ä´T«×¥²¶·¤j¹L¹w´Á³q³f¿±µÈ²v¡A¥H«KÅý¹ê½è§Q²v¼W¥[¡F¬Û¤Ï¦a¡A·í±Á{ª«»ù¤U¶^®É¡A«h¥²¶·°§C¦W¥Ø§Q²v¡A¨ä´T«×¥²¶·¤j©ó³q³fºòÁY²v¥H«KÅý¹ê½è§Q²v¤U¶^¡C¦P®É¡A³Ì¾A³f¹ô¥²¶·¹ïdemand shocks§@¥X¦^À³¡A¦ý¤£»Ýn¹ïsupply shocks§@¥X¦^À³¡C³o¨Ç³£»P§Ú¤§«eªº½×ÂI¬Û¦P¡C§A½èºÃ»¡·s³Í¦]´µ¾Ç¬£¤£¨£±o·|ÃÙ¦P§ÚªºÆ[ÂI¡A§Ú¬Ý¤£¥X§Aªº§PÂ_±q¦ó¦Ó¨Ó¡A½Ð§A¸Ô²Ó»¡©ú¡C |
NOBODY ¡@©ó¡@2002/11/27 08:55 | |
Re:¥xÆW¶i¤J³q³fºòÁY¶Ü¡H¦³½Ð¦U¦ì°ª¤â | |
®Ú¾Ú´CÅ骺³ø¾É¡A ¤¤°êªº¸gÀÙ¦³¹L¼öªºÁô¼~¡C ®Ú¾ÚREITIªº»¡ªk¡A ¤¤°ê¤w¸g¦³³q³fºòÁY²{¶H¡C ®Ú¾Ú§Úªº¸gÀپǪ¾ÃÑ¡A ¸gÀÙ¹L¼ö»P³q³fºòÁYÀ³¸Ó¬O¤¬¬Û¹ï¥ßªº²{¶H¡A ¤£¥i¯à¦P®É¦s¦b¡C ³o¤]¬O§Ú³Ì·PºÃ´bªº¦a¤è¡A ¤£ª¾¹Dþ¤@¦ì¥i¥HÀ°¦£¸Ñ»¡¤@¤U¡H |
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HitCat ¡@©ó¡@2002/11/30 09:53 | |
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CW ¡@©ó¡@2002/11/30 11:10 | |
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µ¡ ¡@©ó¡@2002/12/03 05:44 | |
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§Ú»{¬°¥xÆW¥Ø«e¨S¦³³q³fºòÁYªº²{¶H¡C ®Ú¾Ú¤¤¥¡»È¦æµo¥¬ªº¸ê®Æ¡]½Ð¬Ý³Ì·sªº¤¤¥¡»È¦æ©u¥Z¡Aºô¯¸¤W¦³¡^¡A¥xÆWªº³f¹ô¨Ñµ¹¦¨ªø³£¦b³f¹ô¦¨ªø¥Ø¼Ð°Ï¤º¡A¤]´N¬O³£ºû«ù¦b¦~¼W²v3.5%--8.5%ªº½d³ò¡A³f¹ô¨Ñµ¹¦¨ªø¨S¦³´î¤Ö¡Aþ¨Ó³q³fºòÁY¡C _______________________________________________________________ A. Gary Shilling(1999)µÛ ©P«W¬ÂĶ ¶199 .......¥H¬ü°ê¾ú¥v(1870~1998)¬Ý¨Ó ³o¬O¦]¬° ......Æ[¹îÅã¥Ü ¦P¶fig. 18-2 ¬ü°êµu´Á§Q²v¨«¶Õ»PM2³f¹ô¨Ñµ¹¦¨ªø¤§¶¡ªºÃö«Y(1870-1998) ¥Ñ¹Ï¤¤¨«¶Õ¥i¨£ |
¨¦¯« ¡@©ó¡@2002/12/03 09:10 | |
Re:¥xÆW¶i¤J³q³fºòÁY¶Ü¡H¦³½Ð¦U¦ì°ª¤â | |
Inflation ¡K ¡§A persistent, substantial rise in the general level of prices related to an increase in the volume of money and resulting in the loss of value of currency.¡¨
Deflation ¡K ¡§A fall in the general price level or a contraction of credit and available money.¡¨
Also, the oft-confused concept of ¡§disinflation¡¨ must be defined, as it is very different from flat-out deflation.
Disinflation ¡K ¡§A period or process of slowing the rate of inflation.¡¨
In order to build a working and profitable investor¡¦s understanding of inflation, it is absolutely essential to know exactly what the above words mean. After the true definitions have been internalized, the concepts of inflation and deflation can only be really understood in the way they were originally intended, having to do with money supplies. Money supplies grease the skids of global commerce in the economy. |
¨¦¯« ¡@©ó¡@2002/12/03 09:14 | |
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HitCat ¡@©ó¡@2002/12/03 19:19 | |
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This Gary Schilling may be a good investment adviser, however, is not an economist. I would not take his words seriously. |
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Re:¥xÆW¶i¤J³q³fºòÁY¶Ü¡H¦³½Ð¦U¦ì°ª¤â | |
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